I am not sure why the cigarette consumption is shown as zero in 1900.
This chart is especially revealing in that it shows the decline in lung cancer following the decline in smoking, only many years later. This time lagged correlation is any statistician/economists dream.
This would certainly support my view that cancer has been proven to increase the chances of lung-cancer for the smoker.
I will still write chapters on how cigarette consumption increased during the two world wars due to cigarettes being given to soldiers (after all they were going to die in any case?) And also how the cigarettes smoking increased omen eneterd the market after the war.
UNFORTUNATELY THIS CHART IS ABOUT THE WORST NEWS THAT THE ANTI-SMOKING ACTIVISTS COULD GET!
This chart shows that there is a long-term decline in smoking behaviour that started around 1970 and has been consistent since then.
It becomes very difficult to argue that the effects of anti-advertising legislation or anti-smoking legislation had any effects other than simply continuation of an existing trend.
Had the anti-smoking activities not involved so much money this would not have mattered.
This chart – which shows the percentage of people that are smokers and is less dramatic than the previous chart – confirms that the decline in people smoking has not shown any increase at any point that anti-smoking legislation has been enacted. In fact, one can be sure that this is just a natural trend that exists in society. I am convinced that this has more to do with simply the trend toward healthy living.
This marked-up chart really shows the causes for increases and declines in cigarette usage in the USA.
From an economic perspective it is clear that the decline started with the surgeon general report and certainly did not accelerate as anti-smoking lobbyist tried to change laws.
In the light of the activists that now want to undo the Masters Settlement Agreement (or redo it) the risk is really there that the cigarette companies will accept the undoing because the rate of caancer deaths have decreased to manageable proportions.
FROM AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE THIS IS A DISASTER FOR THE WORLDS 2ND LARGEST PRODUCER OF TOBACCO!
The economic issue is: what to do about all those farmers that grow tobacco, and all the people they employ, and all the factories producing cigarettes, and Philip Morris and its investors?
As we will see farmers like … do not easily switch their ground usage from tobacco to sweet potatoes. In fact they need massive subsidies.
This book is all about how the USA solves this economic problem using the IMF and the WHO and the gullible third world governments.